Now compare Lagos with a place where it has worked:
Lagos has poor traffic enforcement. London has excellent enforcement.
Lagos has adequate supply of lunatics at the back of the wheel. There are lunatics in London too, but they have transport police who are always a few metres away.
Accident rate (without bicycle) is horribly high in Lagos. With Bicycle, just multiply by 20 (hypothetical, it could be more, definitely not less)Its’s extremely low in London, but with bicycle riders on the increase, it went up very slightly.
In London, traffic laws favour the pedestrians, motorcycle and bicycle riders. A vehicle driver is HARDLY EVER RIGHT when there’s accident with a pedestrian, bicycle or motorcycle. This automatically make them to be more careful and never drag right of way. In Lagos, it favours those inside 4 wheels and other fancy cars. The danfo guys do not even recognize or understand traffic laws.
Conclusion: Accident will definitely skyrocket in Lagos if this is introduced with the existing mindset of Nigerians and the poor traffic rules and regulations, coupled with poor policing and bad judicial process. But, it can work, if properly implemented.
But, the inner city streets that we have do not really require any dedicated lane anyway because they are mostly dilapidated and cars hardly do more than 20-30mph. We only need well-trained traffic officers. But the major roads that connect the towns, districts e.g Mobolaji Bank Anthony, etc where traffic can easily do 40mph can be made to have dedicated lanes.